A research programme in financial economics

Markets do not only
process information.
They synchronize institutions.

Institutional Market Dynamics studies how shared constraints reshape portfolios, concentrate demand, and reorganize the covariance structure of markets.

Cconstraint
Agradient
Spressure
Γcovariance

One geometry.
Many institutional constraints.

Fuli YangGARCH Institute2026—
01 / Core idea

Information explains what markets learn.
IMD explains how institutions must act.

The central claim is that heterogeneous institutions can become endogenously synchronized when they optimize under a shared constraint. The mechanism is complementary to information economics: it explains common movement without requiring a common news shock.

Complementary to information economics. Not agent-based. Not a taxonomy.

01

Shared constraint

Institutions remain heterogeneous, but a common mandate, risk limit, market mechanism, or regulation narrows the set of feasible actions.

02

Common gradient

The institution-invariant component of the constraint survives aggregation and creates a directional pressure in portfolio demand.

03

Synchronized market

Concentrated demand changes covariance along the dominant pressure direction, producing measurable correlation lift and spillovers.

The synchronization law

Common gradient synchronization pressure dominant channel covariance shift

Γ = Φ(D / MC)
02 / Research programme

A theory tree,
not a paper list.

IMD is the umbrella research programme. IST supplies the theory ontology; Constraint Geometry turns it into a reusable method; IAT and the Korea studies carry the framework into empirical identification.

IMD-1
Theory core

Institutional Synchronization Theory

Defines synchronization equilibrium and the causal chain from lower portfolio dispersion to concentrated demand and amplified price response.

Foundation paper
IMD-2
Theoretical linchpin

Constraint Geometry of Institutional Synchronization

Defines the IST-admissible class, common gradient, synchronization pressure, Dominance Principle, and the Synchronization Law.

Working paper · v0.5
IAT v2.2.1
Empirical bridge

Structural-break identification via ETF reform

Uses the Korean single-stock leveraged-ETF reform to identify a break in dynamic dependence and calibrate the ETF creation–redemption channel.

Empirical II
WMMAO v0.7
First application

The Korea trading-halt cluster

Documents the cross-sectional footprint of institutional synchronization when trading halts interrupt, store, and release latent order imbalance.

Empirical I
03 / Representative papers

Four papers. One accumulating argument.

All working papers
Theory foundation02

Institutional Synchronization Theory

Explains how heterogeneous institutions become endogenously coupled under shared constraints—without requiring common information arrival.

ISTEquilibriumInstitutional demand
Empirical identification03

IAT v2.2.1 · ETF Reform Identification

Turns a stand-alone structural-break study into a calibration target for the general theory using Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and the Korean leveraged-ETF regime.

DCC-GARCHETF reformKorea
Empirical application04

Trading Halts as Institutional Responses

Uses the KRX halt cluster as the first empirical showcase of how institutional constraints synchronize rebalancing, volatility, and spillovers.

Trading haltsKRXMarket microstructure
04 / Research frontier

The method is a research engine,
not a paper label.

The next phase asks when constraints activate, how their channels can be separately identified, and where the geometry travels next.

IMD-3

Dynamic Geometry

Time-varying constraints, endogenous activation, path dependence, and a Bellman formulation of institutional synchronization.

IMD-4

Identification Geometry

A cross-channel horse race using benchmark reconstitutions, VaR regimes, ETF launches, and short-sale interventions.

IMD-5

Applied Geometry

New constraint classes: ESG mandates, insurer capital rules, bank leverage, pension funding, and policy design.

“Synchronization is the theory ontology.
Constraint is one source of synchronization.”

Institutional Market Dynamics

Research programme · 2026—